Ukraine’s Economy in 2026: Key Forecasts and Scenarios

The Centre for Economic Strategy (CES), together with the German Economic Team (GET), invites you to join the discussion “Ukraine’s Economy in 2026: Key Forecasts and Scenarios”.  

The difficult situation on the frontline and uncertainty over financial support have increased the vulnerability of Ukraine’s economy. These challenges have been further compounded by an internal political crisis and “seasonal” attacks on the energy sector. With this set of challenges, the country is approaching the fourth year of the full-scale war. 

On December 17 at 16:00 (Kyiv time), we will present expert forecasts and compare them with government projections. This will be followed by a discussion on how internal and external factors may affect the economic situation, the exchange rate of the hryvnia, and prices.  

Event Agenda: 

16:00–16:15 Presentation of government and analytical forecasts. 

Maria Repko, Deputy Director, Centre for Economic Strategy (CES).

16:15–17:25 Discussion and Q&A. Representatives of analytical companies: 

• Olena Bilan, Chief Economist at Dragon Capital Investment Company and Member of the CES Supervisory Board.
• Oleksii Blinov, Head of Analytics and Research, Forbes Ukraine.
• Mykhaylo Demkiv, Financial Analyst, ICU Group.
• Vitalii Kravchuk, Senior Research Fellow, Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting.
• Dmytro Krukovets, Macroeconomic Analyst, KSE Institute.
• Oleksandr Parashchii, Head of the Analytical Department, Concorde Capital Investment Company.
• Olha Pindyuk, Economist, Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw).
• Olha Poharska, Chief Economist, PrivatBank.

Comments and review of official forecasts: 

• Nataliia Horshkova, Director of the Department for Strategic Planning and Macroeconomic Forecasting, Ministry of Economy of Ukraine.
• Volodymyr Lepushynskyi, Deputy Governor, National Bank of Ukraine.

17:25–17:30 Summary of the discussion by the German Economic Team. 

Moderator: Maria Repko, Deputy Director, Centre for Economic Strategy (CES).