The Centre for Economic Strategy (CES) and the German Economic Team (GET) invite you to join the discussion “Ukraine’s Economic Outlook: Forecasts for the End of 2026”.
As Ukraine enters the second half of 2026, its economy faces a new set of challenges. While macroeconomic stability has largely been preserved, the full-scale war continues, driving up defence financing needs. At the same time, external shocks, including uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz, are increasing inflationary pressures and adding strain to the hryvnia.
On 5 August at 16:00 (Kyiv time), leading Ukrainian economists and policymakers will discuss how these developments are likely to shape economic growth, inflation, the exchange rate, and the broader macroeconomic outlook through the end of 2026 and beyond.
Before the discussion, CES will present the latest macroeconomic forecasts from the government and independent analysts. Government representatives will then provide their comments.
Agenda
16:00–16:15 Presentation of Government and Independent Economic Forecasts. Maria Repko, Deputy Director, Centre for Economic Strategy
16:15–17:25 Panel Discussion & Q&A
Representatives of analytical institutions (TBC):
- Olena Bilan, Chief Economist at Dragon Capital Investment Company and Member of the CES Supervisory Board.
- Oleksandra Betliy, Leading Expert, Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting (IER).
- Dmytro Krukovets, Macroeconomic Analyst, KSE Institute.
- Oleksandr Parashchii, Head of the Analytical Department, Concorde Capital Investment Company.
- Olha Pindyuk, Economist, Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw).
Comments and review of official forecasts:
- Volodymyr Lepushynskyi, Deputy Governor, National Bank of Ukraine
17:25–17:30 Summary of the discussion by Garry Poluschkin, German Economic Team.
Moderator: Maria Repko, Deputy Director, Centre for Economic Strategy (CES).